Before Kalshi and Polymarket there was the Iowa Electronic Markets
News Source : NPR
News Summary
- Election betting was common until the 1940s, then mysteriously faded away.
- There was an entire political era when party bosses were expected to gamble on their candidates.
- In the 1980s, a few economists designed an election market that beat out election polling 74 percent of the time.
- Today's episode is produced for Planet Money by Sam Yellowhorse Kesler, edited by Alex Goldmark, and engineered by Maggie Luthar.
- The original Throughline episode was produced by Rund Abdelfatah, Casey Miner, Cristina Kim, Devin Katayama, Sarah Wyman, Julia Redpath, and Kyana Moghadam.
Prediction markets arent new. Election betting was common until the 1940s, then mysteriously faded away.
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