LongRun Effects of H1B Immigration on the U.S. Economy (July 2026)

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News Source : Nber.org

News Summary

  • We find that H-1B exposure raised incomes for natives and pre-existing immigrants, with gains concentrated in non-STEM occupations.
  • Income gains propagate forward through supply chains to downstream industries but not backward to upstream industries, consistent with a productivity shock rather than a labor supply shock.
  • We find no direct effect on patenting, suggesting that productivity gains arise from better task execution rather than patentable invention.
  • The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research.
We study the effects of H1B immigration on U.S. industries that employ H1B workers and their trading partners.

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