A Prediction Market About the Past? Sure, Why Not!

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News Source : Wired

News Summary

  • Verifact Markets is a "prediction market for disputed facts" It lists markets for past events that it considers “disputed” and lets its customers wager on whether they really happened.
  • Users can submit “evidence” for or against their position, and the company plans to offer rewards for credible documentation.
  • If Verifact Markets determines that there’s enough evidence to make a call, it will.
  • If it still can’t tell, the company will “expire” a market and pay out users based on its calculation of the odds at the time.
Would you put money on whether Covid19 originated from a lab? How about whether some of the footage from the Apollo 11 moon landing was actually filmed on Earth?

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