Why prediction markets might take a bite out of New Yorks tax revenue
News Source : Business Insider
News Summary
- New York accounts for a third of all state tax collections on sports betting revenues.
- Mobile sports betting brought in around $328 million in tax receipts in the first quarter of 2026.
- Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi have begun offering sports gamblers a new way to play — and they are taxed at a lower federal level.
- If 1% of sportsbook activity in New York moved to prediction markets, it could result in a $13 million revenue hit, according to an analysis from the Tax Policy Center.
DragonImages/Getty Images Mobile sports betting has become New Yorks secondlargest driver of gambling revenue.
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